April 3, 2020 : GBP/USD Intraday technical analysis and trade recommendations.

Since January 13, progressive bearish pressure has been built above the price level of 1.2780-1.2800 until March the 2nd when transient bearish consolidation below 1.2780 took place within the depicted wide-ranged slightly bearish channel.Shortly after, significant bullish rejection was demonstrated around 1.2780 on March 4. Hence, a quick bullish movement was expressed towards the price zone of 1.3165-1.3200 where significant bearish pressure brought the pair back below 1.2780, 1.2500 then 1.2260 via quick bearish engulfing H4 candlesticks.Recently, the GBPUSD has reached new LOW price levels around 1.1450, slightly below the historical low (1.1650) achieved in September 2016.Recently, the GBP/USD pair looked very OVERSOLD around the price levels of 1.1450 where a double-bottom reversal pattern was recently demonstrated.Technical outlook will probably remain bullish if bullish persistence is maintained above 1.1890-1.1900 (Double-Bottom Neckline) on the H4 Charts.Bullish breakout above 1.1900 (Latest Descending High) invalidated the bearish scenario temporarily & enabled a quick bullish movement to occur towards 1.2260.Next bullish targets around 1.2520 and 1.2680 were expected to be addressed if sufficient bullish momentum was maintained.However, early bearish pressure signs have originated around 1.2470 leading to another bearish decline towards 1.2265.That’s why, H4 Candlestick re-closure below 1.2265 is needed to hinder further bullish advancement…

Spain Industrial Production Decline Slows In February

Spain’s industrial production fell at a softer pace in February, data from the statistical office INE showed on Friday. Industrial production declined a calendar adjusted 1.3 percent annually in February, following a 2.2 percent fall in January. Energy output had the biggest decline of 4.1 percent annually in February and non-durable consumer goods decreased 1.2 percent. Meanwhile, durable consumer goods remained unchanged. On an unadjusted basis, industrial output rose 0.1 percent in February, after a 3.8 percent decline in the preceding month. On a month-on-month basis, industrial production remained unchanged in February. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

EUR/USD evening review for April 03, 2020. Market stuck in the range, to wait for the US state on Monday

Them US employment report for March was released which showed less than 700 thousand jobs and an increase in the unemployment rate from 3.8% to 4.5%.In the past years, Eureka would either soar up or drop-down, but now it stands still.The data from March serves as a recollection of the Tatar invasion. Over the past two weeks, the number of new unemployment benefits in the United States amounted to almost 10 million.The US administration pays huge sums of money to businesses and households in the midst of the pandemic, after all, there are almost 250,000 infected in the United States.In Moscow, Russia the number of infected cases is still at 3,500 which is so far an exponential increase, and the quarantine is still to last until April 30th. Amid this quarantine, the Russian authorities do not propose to pay people who find themselves in FORCED non-working condition.This was directly stated by Sobyanin, the mayor of Moscow, saying that, “The budget will not stand. We believe that the business has enough money to pay a month of vacation to employees.”Germany, on the other hand, paid their forced “vacationers” employees at about 3 Salaries. That is without any inquiries, just on request and…

Eurozone Private Sector Logs Record Fall In March

The euro area private sector logged its biggest monthly fall on record in March as the coronavirus disease, or covid-19, pandemic impacted heavily on economic activity, final data from IHS Markit showed Friday. The final composite output index fell sharply to 29.7 in March from 51.6 in February. This was also weaker than the flash estimate of 31.4. Both services and manufacturing sectors recorded notable declines in output in March. Manufacturers posted the sharpest fall in production since April 2009. At the same time, services activity declined at a record pace. The final services Purchasing Managers’ Index plunged to a record low of 26.4 from 52.6 a month ago. The reading was also below the preliminary estimate of 28.4. The covid-19 pandemic and associated measures taken to contain the outbreak through Europe weighed heavily on business performance. Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit said, the data indicate that the eurozone economy is already contracting at an annualized rate approaching 10 percent, with worse inevitably to come in the near future. Incoming new work deteriorated to the greatest extent in the 22-year survey history. Further, confidence about the future was the lowest recorded by the survey since…

GBP/USD: plan for the US session on April 3. Bears are counting on a major flight of the pound down. The support of 1.2315

To open long positions on GBPUSD, you need:Bears managed to gain a foothold below the support of 1.2315 in the first half of the day after very poor data on activity in the UK services sector. This is clearly visible on the 5-minute chart. However, the continuation of the downward trend in the pound will depend on data on the state of the US labor market. In the second half of the day, the bulls urgently need to return a pair back to the level of 1.2315, since only in this scenario will it be possible to maintain the advantage. If the decline continues in GBP / USD, it is best to return to long positions only after the support test of 1.2150 or to rebound from the larger minimum of 1.1985, in the expectation of correction of 60-70 within the day. A breakout and consolidation above 1.2315 will push purchases to the maximum area of 1.2473, where I recommend fixing the profits.To open short positions on GBPUSD, you need:The bears coped with the weekly task and broke below the support of 1.2315 from the 5th time. Sellers of the pound in the second half of the day need to achieve…

EUR/USD: plan for the US session on April 3. Bears continue to control the market and follow the set course to the lows of

To open long positions on EURUSD, you need:
Another sale of the European currency after the publication of business activity indices for the services sector of the eurozone led the pair to the support of 1.0790. I paid attention to this in the morning forecast. The 5-minute chart clearly shows how the bulls try to form a false breakout, successfully making several bounces from this level, but each time they meet with larger sales. At the moment, the further movement of the euro down depends on the analysis of data on the labor market. It is unlikely that the bulls should expect the support of 1.0790, so it is best to return to long positions after updating the minimum of 1.0718, provided that a false breakout is formed there, or immediately to rebound from the annual support of 1.0626. In the scenario of the pair’s growth in the second half of the day after the data on the state of the US economy, the bulls will try to regain the resistance of 1.0880, which will push EUR/USD even higher, to the maximum of 1.0955, where I recommend fixing the profits.

To open short positions on EURUSD, you need:
Sellers continue to follow a clearly…

Japanese Yen Higher Amid Rising Risk Aversion

The Japanese yen climbed against its major counterparts in the Asian session on Friday amid rising risk aversion, as oil prices retraced gains and a private survey showed that China’s services sector contracted further in March. Survey data from IHS Markit showed that China’s services activity contracted in March due to the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on demand and supply chains. The Caixin services Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 43.0 in March from 26.5 in February. However, a score below 50 indicates contraction. Oil prices fell after soaring on Thursday following President Donald Trump’s comment that he expects Russia and Saudi Arabia to co-operate on output reduction. The United States reported a record 6.648 million jobless claims last week led by shut downs to contain the virus. Investors await the March payroll data due at 8:30 am ET. Economists are expecting a drop of 100,000 jobs last month, while the unemployment rate is seen rising to 3.8 percent. The number of confirmed coronavirus cases crossed the 1 million mark globally with a death toll of 53,030, according to the new tally from Johns Hopkins University. Around 1,015,403 people have been diagnosed with the novel coronavirus across the world….

Trading plan for EUR/USD for April 03, 2020

Technical outlook:EUR/USD has dropped to 1.0782 lows today, and is seen to be trading around 1.0792 levels at this point in writing. Please note that the NFP figures are expected to be out in another 10 minutes and that might possibly trigger the rally that we have been waiting for in the EUR/USD pair. Technically, the single currency pair has dropped into the vicinity of fibonacci 0.618 support of the previous rally between 1.0636 and 1.1150 respectively. A bullish bounce remains high probability as long as prices stay above the 1.0636 support. Immediate resistance is seen around 1.0865, followed by 1.0975 respectively; and a push above those will be extremely encouraging for the bulls to continue further. Overall structure still remains bullish against 1.0636 levels and if this holds, EUR/USD should be staging a rally towards 1.1500 and 1.1900 levels in the next few weeks time. Trading point of view, it is good to remain long with risk at 1.0636 levels.Trading plan:Remain long, stop @ 1.0636 target above @1.1500Good luck!The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Will the dollar stop plan B?

All attempts by the Fed to rein in the US dollar were futile. Neither a sharp reduction in the federal funds rate, nor the launch of unlimited purchases of Treasury and mortgage bonds under QE, nor the transfer of liquidity to foreign central banks using swaps and repos has dampened investors’ interest in buying the USD index. If this continues, I am afraid that currency interventions will be necessary. According to BofA Merrill Lynch, this will happen when the EUR/USD pair falls to 1.05.
In theory, this scale of dollar liquidity and the rapid expansion of the Fed’s balance sheet should have knocked the “American” down. Nevertheless, the number of supporters of the “dollar smile” theory is growing rapidly. It assumes that at the first stage, the USD index is strengthened due to the strength of the US economy and the associated inflow of capital to the US securities market. When a recession begins, the dollar peaks as investors flee to safe-haven assets. Then, thanks to those who want to save stock indices from falling into the abyss with the help of aggressive monetary expansion, the Fed forms the bottom of the smile. After that, the dollar begins to grow again, as…

BTC analysis for 04.03.2020 – Major pivot resistance at the price of $7.000 is on the test, potential for downside rotation

BTC news:With growing mobile money across the globe, Revolut has joined the list of growing bank challengers in the UK. The platform is offering an alternative to the central government-controlled fiat currency. With a fixed supply, Bitcoin is seen as the alternative to the fiat especially at a time when governments are printing more money through the quantitative easing program.Technical analysis: BTC has been trading upwards.The price tested and rejected of the very important pivot level at $7.000, which is sign that there is potential for downside rotation. The action around the critical level at $7.000 will be important fore the further direction.Yesterday’s daily close was well off the high, which is another sign that there is potential for the downside.MACD oscillator is still showing reading below the zero but the slow line is going upwards.Major resistance is set at $7.000 and the next one is at $7.630.My recommendation is to watch for selling opportunities around the critical pivot at $7.000.Potential targets can be set at $6.131, $5.180 and even $3.877The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…