Tag Archives: commodities

Gold will face important challenges next week.

Gold price remains in a bullish short-term trend as price continues to respect Kumo (cloud) support. Price is above the Ichimoku cloud and a big test is waiting for bulls this Monday. A major downward sloping trend line resistance will be the first obstacle next week.Black line – resistance trend lineGold price is at a major resistance. Price is testing the trend line and the recent highs near $1,630. Support is at $1,610-$1,605 and next at $1,596. A 4 hour close below these levels will be a bearish sign for Gold. If this happens I expect Gold to pull back towards $1,553 which is the lower cloud boundary. Another indicator that confirms we are at important resistance is the Chikou span (light blue line indicator). The Chikou span is hitting the candlestick pattern from below. The Chikou span confirms we are now at important resistance area. Bulls need to break above it in order to hope for a move to $1,650 or higher.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Brazil Services Sector Shrinks At Record Pace On Covid-19 Disruption

Brazil’s service sector shrunk at the fastest pace in the survey’s 13-year history in March as businesses were shut and demand shrunk due to the coronavirus, or Covid-19, outbreak, survey data from IHS Markit showed on Friday. The headline seasonally adjusted IHS Markit Brazil Services Business Activity Index plummeted by nearly 16 points to 34.5 from 50.4 in February. A reading below 50 suggests contraction in activity. New work fell at the fastest pace since the survey began in March 2007, thanks to cancelled orders and business shutdowns. Export demand dropped at a rapid rate that exceeded the fall in total demand, mainly due to containment measures adopted globally to slow the spread of the Covid-19 pandemic. Employment fell at the fastest rate since October 2016, as businesses shed jobs in a bid to reduce operating costs amid shutdowns. Average costs increased sharply in March, but the overall rate of input price inflation was the slowest since last November. A strong US dollar and a corresponding increase in the price of imported items, pushed up purchasing costs. Charge inflation remained modest, but was the fastest in three months. Business confidence eroded sharply with expectations being the weakest since the survey…

*ISM U.S. Non-Manufacturing Index Drops To 52.5 In March

ISM U.S. Non-Manufacturing Index Drops To 52.5 In March The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

U.S. Employment Plunges By 701,000 Jobs In March, Much More Than Expected

Employment in the U.S. fell much more than expected in the month of March, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Friday. The report said employment plunged by 701,000 jobs in March after jumping by an upwardly revised 275,000 jobs in February. Economists had expected employment to slump by 100,000 jobs compared to the addition of 273,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month. The much bigger than expected decrease came as employment in the leisure and hospitality sector plummeted by 459,000 jobs, mainly in food services and drinking places. The Labor Department said notable declines also occurred in health care and social assistance, professional and business services, retail trade, and construction. With the much bigger than expected drop in employment, the unemployment rate surged up to 4.4 percent in March from 3.5 percent in February. The unemployment rate had been expected to climb to 3.8 percent. “The 701,000 plunge in non-farm payrolls in March, which is already close to the worst monthly declines seen during the Global Financial Crisis, suggests the coronavirus pandemic started to decimate economic activity even sooner than we had thought,” said Andrew Hunter, Senior U.S. Economist at Capital Economics. He…

Dollar Ticks Up Following U.S. Jobs Data

Following the release of U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for March at 8:30 am ET Friday, the greenback edged up against its major counterparts. The greenback was trading at 108.50 against the yen, 0.9781 against the franc, 1.2256 against the pound and 1.0780 against the euro around 8:31 am ET. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Sweden Services Sector Activity Weakest Since 2012

Sweden’s services sector contracted at the fastest rate in 15 years to hit its lowest level since 2012, survey data from Swedbank and the logistics association SILF showed on Wednesday. The Purchasing Managers’ Index for the services sector decreased to 46.9 in March from 56.4 in February.Any reading below 50 suggests contraction in the sector. The latest monthly decline was the largest in the survey’s fifteen-year history and the reading was the lowest since 2012. The order index and production sub-indices recorded the biggest declines in March followed by employment. The sub-index for the suppliers’ delivery times increased for the second straight month, reaching a record high. “Normally, rising delivery times mean increased demand pressure, but this time it is rather a lack of supply that contributes to longer delivery times partly because of the corona virus and closed borders,” Swedbank analyst Jorgen Kennemar said. Service sector companies plans contracted in March, which indicates a darker economic outlook in the future. The Composite PMI, which combines manufacturing and services, fell to 45.9 in March from 55.4 in the previous month. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Pound Falls Sharply As U.K. Services PMI Shrinks To Record Low

The pound moved down against its major counterparts in the European session on Friday, as coronavirus cases exceeded one million worldwide and U.K. service sector activity slumped in March amid business shutdowns and order cancellations in response to the coronavirus pandemic. Survey data from IHS Markit/CIPS showed that the U.K. services PMI fell to 34.5 in March from 53.2 in February. This was also weaker than the flash estimate of 35.7. This reading was the lowest since the survey began in July 1996. The composite output index dropped to 36.0 in March from 53.0 in February. The flash score was 37.1. Weak Eurozone purchasing manager data rekindled recession concerns. The IHS Markit eurozone services purchasing managers index slumped to a reading of 26.4 in March from 52.6 in February, the worst-ever reading in the history of the series, as the covid-19 pandemic and associated measures taken to contain the outbreak through Europe weighed heavily on business performance. The pound fell to 132.95 against the yen, from a high of 134.09 set at 7:00 pm ET. The next likely support for the pound is seen around the 127.00 level. The latest survey from Jibun Bank showed that the services…

Japanese Yen Higher Amid Rising Risk Aversion

The Japanese yen climbed against its major counterparts in the Asian session on Friday amid rising risk aversion, as oil prices retraced gains and a private survey showed that China’s services sector contracted further in March. Survey data from IHS Markit showed that China’s services activity contracted in March due to the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on demand and supply chains. The Caixin services Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 43.0 in March from 26.5 in February. However, a score below 50 indicates contraction. Oil prices fell after soaring on Thursday following President Donald Trump’s comment that he expects Russia and Saudi Arabia to co-operate on output reduction. The United States reported a record 6.648 million jobless claims last week led by shut downs to contain the virus. Investors await the March payroll data due at 8:30 am ET. Economists are expecting a drop of 100,000 jobs last month, while the unemployment rate is seen rising to 3.8 percent. The number of confirmed coronavirus cases crossed the 1 million mark globally with a death toll of 53,030, according to the new tally from Johns Hopkins University. Around 1,015,403 people have been diagnosed with the novel coronavirus across the world….

Analysis for Gold 04.03.2020 – Watch for the potential breakout of the channel to confirm downside. Gold is at the major

Corona virus news:China seeks to lead amid talk of 10m potential global casesResidents of Wuhan, the Chinese city where the Covid-19 pandemic began, have been told to stay indoors and remain vigilant ahead of an easing of travel restrictions. Meanwhile, Beijing is stepping up a media campaign in the west to frame its handling of the disease as an example of global leadership. The country’s Covid-19 statistics have been called into question, but on Thursday China recorded just 31 new cases, 29 of them in people arriving from other countries.Technical analysis: Gold has been trading upwards.The price tested and rejected of the very important pivot level at $1.619, which is sign that there is potential for downside rotation.I found the upward channel that is active and the eventual breakout to the downside may confirm further drop towards the levels at $1.566 and $1.515. Selling opportunities will be preferable in case of the downside break.If you see the breakout of $1.620 level, watch for buying opportunities on the dips with the target at $1.643. Stochastic oscillator is showing overbought condition and potential for the downside movement.Intraday resistance level is set at the price of $1.619Support levels and downward targets are set at…