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U.S. Leading Economic Index Climbs Much More Than Expected In January

Indicating the current economic expansion will continue through the first half of 2020, the Conference Board released a report on Thursday showing a much bigger than expected increase by its reading on leading U.S. economic indicators. The Conference Board said its leading economic index climbed by 0.8 percent in January after falling by 0.3 percent in December. Economists had expected the index to rise by 0.3 percent. The bigger than expected rebound by the index reflected a sharp drop in initial jobless claims, increasing housing permits, an improvement in consumers’ outlook on the economy and positive contributions from financial indicators. “The LEI’s six-month growth rate has returned to positive territory, suggesting that the current economic expansion – at about 2 percent – will continue through early 2020,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic Research at the Conference Board. He added, “While weakness in manufacturing appears to show signs of softening, the COVID-19 outbreak may impact manufacturing supply chains in the US in the coming months.” The report also said the coincident economic index inched up by 0.1 percent in January after showing no change in December. Meanwhile, the lagging economic index came in unchanged in January after edging…

*U.S. Leading Economic Index Climbs 0.8% In January

U.S. Leading Economic Index Climbs 0.8% In January The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

EUR/USD: plan for the US session on February 20. The euro continues to stagnate around annual lows. The sellers’ target remains

To open long positions on EURUSD, you need:
Data on German producer prices helped keep the euro at this year’s lows, forming a false breakdown from the support area of 1.0785, which also led to the formation of a divergence on the MACD indicator. This is a bullish signal, however, given the current position of the European currency, it is not necessary to count on strong upward momentum. In the scenario of a breakthrough and a decline below the level of 1.0785 in the afternoon, it is best to return to long positions after the area of 1.0765 is updated or immediately to a rebound from the larger low of 1.0740. An equally important task for the bulls will be to break through and consolidate above the resistance of 1.0825, from which a good upward correction will be formed in the area of the highs of 1.0860 and 1.0886, where I recommend taking the profits.
To open short positions on EURUSD, you need:
The bears continue to bend their line, however, they have not managed to break below the support of 1.0785 for the third day in a row, which may lead to a sharp rebound of the pair up. Apparently, the sellers are…

Germany Producer Prices Rise Unexpectedly

Germany’s producer prices rose unexpectedly in January, data from Destatis showed on Thursday. The producer price index rose 0.2 percent year-on-year in January, reversing a 0.2 percent decrease seen in December. Economists had expected a 0.4 percent fall. Among the components, prices for non-durable consumer goods grew 3.6 percent annually in January and those of durable consumer goods and capital goods rose by 1.4 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively. Meanwhile, prices for intermediate goods and energy declined by 1.5 percent and 1.0 percent, respectively. On a monthly basis, producer prices increased 0.8 percent in January, following a 0.1 percent rise in the previous month. Economists had expected prices to remain unchanged. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Dutch Consumer Confidence Decline Slows In February

Dutch consumer confidence decline slowed in February, data from the Central Bureau of Statistics showed on Thursday. The consumer confidence index rose to minus 2 in February from minus 3 in January. A similar reading was seen in December. Nonetheless, the consumer confidence index has remained above the 20-year average of minus 5 points. The economic climate sub-index rose to minus 5 in February from minus 7 in the previous month and the indicator for willingness to buy increased to 1. Households’ assessment regarding their financial situation for the next 12 months improved. However, consumers felt that it is favorable to make large purchases. Another report from the statistical office showed that household spending growth increased in December with higher purchases of home furnishing, electrical appliances, and cars. Consumer spending grew 2.9 percent annually in December, after a 1.4 percent increase in November. This was the highest since July 2018, when it was 3.0 percent. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Euro, pull yourself together!

The total weakening of the European currency is starting to seriously worry the market. It looks like a protracted disease that the euro cannot get rid of. Experts fear that with a prolonged fall in the euro, it will “slip through” all the chances for recovery that the market gives from time to time.
Currently, the single European currency continues to stomp within annual lows, and in relation to the US currency, it has fallen to three-year lows. An extremely weak data on the Eurozone business sentiment index from ZEW became an additional nail in the coffin for the euro. Recall that February of this year, the ZEW economic sentiment indicator for Germany rapidly fell to 8.7 points from 26.7 points recorded in January. Analysts also noted a deterioration in the assessment of the economic situation. By the beginning of this year, the German economy had disappointed the market. A negative reaction to an outbreak of coronavirus infection added fuel to the fire, due to the fact that it can drastically slow down global trade, which will put additional pressure on the euro.
According to reports on the eurozone economy, the current situation is not encouraging either, as the…

Trading plan for EUR/USD and GBP/USD on 02/20/2020

Honestly, what is happening on the market surprises more and more. The pound completely ignores its own statistics, but reacts extremely violently to the American currency. And in theory, the single European currency also had to decline under the influence of American statistics. However, it stood still, as if nothing had happened. Thus, it cannot be said that the market definitely pays attention only to American statistics.At the same time, inflation data in the UK turned out to be incredibly good, as it increased from 1.3% to 1.8% instead of the forecast of 1.4%. Indeed, such a sharp increase in inflation clearly indicates that the Bank of England will not lower the refinancing rate for at least the first half of the year. And inflation itself is a factor favorable for the currency market. Nevertheless, investors did not seem to see this data.Inflation (UK):The market behaved exactly the same way at the time of publication of data on construction in Europe, the volume of which decreased by 3.7%. That is, after the news that instead of growth by 1.2%, construction is generally declining, investors behaved in the most usual way – nothing, as if this data was not there.Scope of construction…

Indicator analysis. Daily review of EUR/USD on February 20, 2020

Trend analysis (Fig. 1).The market may continue to move down today with the target at 1.0783, the lower fractal (red dashed line). Breaking down the lower fractal is unlikely but work up is possible from the level of 1.0783.Fig. 1 (daily chart).Comprehensive analysis:- Indicator analysis – down;- Fibonacci levels – down;- Volumes – up;- Candlestick analysis – up;- Trend analysis – up;- Bollinger Lines – up;- Weekly schedule – up.General conclusion:A continued downward movement is expected today with the target of 1.0783, the lower fractal (red dashed line).An unlikely but possible scenario is from the lower fractal 1.0783 (red dashed line), a continued work down with the goal of 1.0664, the retracement level of 85.4% (yellow dashed line).The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Australia January Unemployment Rate Rises To 5.3%

The jobless rate in Australia came in at a seasonally adjusted 5.3 percent in January, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday. That exceeded expectations for 5.2 percent and was up from 5.1 percent in December. The Australian economy added 13.500 jobs last month to 12,995,400 people, again surpassing forecasts for a gain of 10,000 jobs following the gain of 28,900 jobs in the previous month. Full-time employment increased by 46,200 to 8,882,200 people and part-time employment decreased by 32,700 to 4,113,300 people. Unemployment increased by 31,000 to 725,900 people. The participation rate was 66.1 percent, exceeding expectations for 66.0 percent – which would have been unchanged from the month prior. Monthly hours worked in all jobs decreased by 8.1 million hours to 1,781.8 million hours. The monthly seasonally adjusted underemployment rate increased by 0.3 pts to 8.6 percent. The monthly underutilization rate increased by 0.5 pts to 13.9 percent. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Australia Jobless Rate Climbs To 5.3% In January

The unemployment rate in Australia came in at a seasonally adjusted 5.3 percent in January, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday. That exceeded expectations for 5.2 percent and was up from 5.1 percent in December. The Australian economy added 13.500 jobs last month, again surpassing forecasts for a gain of 10,000 jobs following the gain of 28,900 jobs ion the previous month. The participation rate was 66.1 percent, exceeding expectations for 66.0 percent – which would have been unchanged from the month prior. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…