Tag Archives: Forex

U.S. Dollar Higher Amid Coronavirus Fears

The U.S. dollar firmed against its major counterparts in the European session on Friday, as investors sought safe-haven assets following grim Eurozone business survey, as well as continued COVID-19 concerns after virus cases exceeded one million. The IHS Markit eurozone services purchasing managers index slumped to a reading of 26.4 in March from 52.6 in February, the worst-ever reading in the history of the series, as the covid-19 pandemic and associated measures taken to contain the outbreak through Europe weighed heavily on business performance. The number of confirmed coronavirus cases crossed the 1 million mark globally with a death toll of 53,030, according to the new tally from Johns Hopkins University. Around 1,015,403 people have been diagnosed with the novel coronavirus across the world. Investors didn’t react to the disappointing U.S. jobs data for March. Data from the Labor Department showed that the U.S. employment fell much more than expected in the month of March. The report said employment plunged by 701,000 jobs in March after jumping by an upwardly revised 275,000 jobs in February. Economists had expected employment to slump by 100,000 jobs compared to the addition of 273,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month. With the much…

U.S. Employment Plunges By 701,000 Jobs In March, Much More Than Expected

Employment in the U.S. fell much more than expected in the month of March, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Friday. The report said employment plunged by 701,000 jobs in March after jumping by an upwardly revised 275,000 jobs in February. Economists had expected employment to slump by 100,000 jobs compared to the addition of 273,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month. The much bigger than expected decrease came as employment in the leisure and hospitality sector plummeted by 459,000 jobs, mainly in food services and drinking places. The Labor Department said notable declines also occurred in health care and social assistance, professional and business services, retail trade, and construction. With the much bigger than expected drop in employment, the unemployment rate surged up to 4.4 percent in March from 3.5 percent in February. The unemployment rate had been expected to climb to 3.8 percent. “The 701,000 plunge in non-farm payrolls in March, which is already close to the worst monthly declines seen during the Global Financial Crisis, suggests the coronavirus pandemic started to decimate economic activity even sooner than we had thought,” said Andrew Hunter, Senior U.S. Economist at Capital Economics. He…

U.S. Employment Plunges Much More Than Expected In March

Employment in the U.S. fell much more than expected in the month of March, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Friday. The report said employment plunged by 701,000 jobs in March after jumping by an upwardly revised 275,000 jobs in February. Economists had expected employment to slump by 100,000 jobs compared to the addition of 273,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month. With the much bigger than expected drop in employment, the unemployment rate surged up to 4.4 percent in March from 3.5 percent in February. The unemployment rate had been expected to climb to 3.8 percent. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Comprehensive analysis of movement options of AUD/USD, USD/CAD, and NZD/USD (daily) in April 2020. The analysis of the APLs

Minor operational scale (daily time frame)
In the second month of spring – what will happen with the “raw” currencies AUD/USD, USD/CAD, and NZD/USD? Overview of the development of the traffic movement from April 4, 2020.____________________
Australian Dollar vs US Dollar
Testing and direction of the range breakdown:
resistance level of 0.6100 – median line minute;support level of 0.6000 – the upper border of the channel 1/2 median line fork operational scale minuteIt will determine the development of the movement of the Australian dollar AUD/USD from April 4, 2020.
Sequential breakdown of support levels:
0.6000 – upper limit of the channel 1/2ML minute;0.5965 – lower bound of ISL61.8 equilibrium zone of the forks of the operational scale minor;0.5930 – lower bound of ISL61. 8 equilibrium zone of the forks of the operational scale minute;Confirm the development of the movement of the Australian dollar in the channel 1/2 median line minute (0.6000 – 0.5860 – 0.5730) with the prospect of reaching the minimum price of 0.5510.
When sharing the breakdown of the median lines (resistance of 0.6100) and median line minor (0.6130) – option of the movement AUD/USD to the upper limit of ISL61.8 (0.6240) zone equilibrium fork operational scale minute and channel borders 1/2 median line (0.6275 -…

April 3, 2020 : GBP/USD Intraday technical analysis and trade recommendations.

Since January 13, progressive bearish pressure has been built above the price level of 1.2780-1.2800 until March the 2nd when transient bearish consolidation below 1.2780 took place within the depicted wide-ranged slightly bearish channel.Shortly after, significant bullish rejection was demonstrated around 1.2780 on March 4. Hence, a quick bullish movement was expressed towards the price zone of 1.3165-1.3200 where significant bearish pressure brought the pair back below 1.2780, 1.2500 then 1.2260 via quick bearish engulfing H4 candlesticks.Recently, the GBPUSD has reached new LOW price levels around 1.1450, slightly below the historical low (1.1650) achieved in September 2016.Recently, the GBP/USD pair looked very OVERSOLD around the price levels of 1.1450 where a double-bottom reversal pattern was recently demonstrated.Technical outlook will probably remain bullish if bullish persistence is maintained above 1.1890-1.1900 (Double-Bottom Neckline) on the H4 Charts.Bullish breakout above 1.1900 (Latest Descending High) invalidated the bearish scenario temporarily & enabled a quick bullish movement to occur towards 1.2260.Next bullish targets around 1.2520 and 1.2680 were expected to be addressed if sufficient bullish momentum was maintained.However, early bearish pressure signs have originated around 1.2470 leading to another bearish decline towards 1.2265.That’s why, H4 Candlestick re-closure below 1.2265 is needed to hinder further bullish advancement…

GBP/USD: plan for the US session on April 3. Bears are counting on a major flight of the pound down. The support of 1.2315

To open long positions on GBPUSD, you need:Bears managed to gain a foothold below the support of 1.2315 in the first half of the day after very poor data on activity in the UK services sector. This is clearly visible on the 5-minute chart. However, the continuation of the downward trend in the pound will depend on data on the state of the US labor market. In the second half of the day, the bulls urgently need to return a pair back to the level of 1.2315, since only in this scenario will it be possible to maintain the advantage. If the decline continues in GBP / USD, it is best to return to long positions only after the support test of 1.2150 or to rebound from the larger minimum of 1.1985, in the expectation of correction of 60-70 within the day. A breakout and consolidation above 1.2315 will push purchases to the maximum area of 1.2473, where I recommend fixing the profits.To open short positions on GBPUSD, you need:The bears coped with the weekly task and broke below the support of 1.2315 from the 5th time. Sellers of the pound in the second half of the day need to achieve…

Will the dollar stop plan B?

All attempts by the Fed to rein in the US dollar were futile. Neither a sharp reduction in the federal funds rate, nor the launch of unlimited purchases of Treasury and mortgage bonds under QE, nor the transfer of liquidity to foreign central banks using swaps and repos has dampened investors’ interest in buying the USD index. If this continues, I am afraid that currency interventions will be necessary. According to BofA Merrill Lynch, this will happen when the EUR/USD pair falls to 1.05.
In theory, this scale of dollar liquidity and the rapid expansion of the Fed’s balance sheet should have knocked the “American” down. Nevertheless, the number of supporters of the “dollar smile” theory is growing rapidly. It assumes that at the first stage, the USD index is strengthened due to the strength of the US economy and the associated inflow of capital to the US securities market. When a recession begins, the dollar peaks as investors flee to safe-haven assets. Then, thanks to those who want to save stock indices from falling into the abyss with the help of aggressive monetary expansion, the Fed forms the bottom of the smile. After that, the dollar begins to grow again, as…

Singapore Retail Sales Decrease In February

Singapore retail sales decline at the fastest pace in February, data from the Department of Statistics showed on Friday. Retail sales declined 8.6 percent year-on-year in February, following a 5.3 percent fall in January. Motor vehicle sales rose 1.3 percent annually in February, following a 33.6 percent fall in the previous month. Excluding motor vehicles, retail sales decreased 10.2 percent in February, after a 0.6 percent increase in the preceding month. Sales of wearing apparel and footwear declined the most by 41.0 percent in February and those of food and alcohol, and department stores decreased 40.5 percent and 36.3 percent, respectively. On a monthly basis, retail sales dropped 8.9 percent in February, after a 0.2 percent rise in the prior month. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…