Tag Archives: oil trading

February 20, 2020 : GBP/USD Intraday technical analysis and trade recommendations.

On December 13, the GBPUSD pair looked overpriced around the price levels of 1.3500 while exceeding the upper limit of the depicted bullish channel.On the period between December 18th – 23rd, bearish breakout below the depicted channel followed by temporary bearish closure below 1.3000 were demonstrated on the H4 chart.However, immediate bullish recovery (around 1.2900) brought the pair back above 1.3000.Bullish breakout above 1.3000 allowed the mentioned Intraday bullish pullback to pursue towards 1.3250 (the backside of the broken channel) where bearish rejection and a new wide-ranged movement channel were established between (1.3200-1.2980).Recently, new descending highs were demonstrated around 1.3200 and 1.3070.Recent Bearish breakdown below 1.2980 enhanced further bearish decline towards 1.2890 (the lower limit of the movement channe) where evident bullish rejection has been manifested on February 10.This week, Temporary bullish breakout above 1.3000 has been expressed until Yesterday when another bearish decline was expressed.As expected, The current bearish decline below 1.2980 is leading the GBPUSD pair towards the lower limit of the channel @ 1.2870 -1.2850 where price action should be watched.Intraday technical outlook is supposed to remain bearish as long as the pair maintains its movement below 1.2930 (Intraday Keylevel).Temporary bullish recovery around (1.2850-1.2870), followed by another bearish…

Poland Industrial Production Rises; Producer Price Inflation Slows

Poland’s industrial production rose unexpectedly in January, and producer price inflation slowed, figures from the Statistics Poland showed on Thursday. Industrial production rose 1.1 percent year-on-year in January. Economists had expected a 0.1 percent fall. Manufacturing output rose 1.9 percent annually in January. Among the main sectors, production of water supply grew 7.5 percent. Meanwhile, production of mining and quarrying, and electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply declined 10.4 percent and 4.2 percent, respectively. Intermediate goods output increased by 3.1 percent, and production of durable consumer goods and capital goods rose by 2.0 percent and 1.0 percent, respectively. Energy and non-durable consumer goods production decreased by 3.7 percent and 1.0 percent, respectively. On a monthly basis, industrial production gained 4.5 percent in January. On a seasonally adjusted basis, industrial production rose 3.5 percent annually in January. Another data showed that the producer prices rose 0.8 percent year-on-year in January, slower than 1.0 percent in December. This was in line with economists’ expectation. On a month-on-month basis, producer prices edged up 0.1 percent in January, same as seen in the preceding month. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

EUR/USD: plan for the US session on February 20. The euro continues to stagnate around annual lows. The sellers’ target remains

To open long positions on EURUSD, you need:
Data on German producer prices helped keep the euro at this year’s lows, forming a false breakdown from the support area of 1.0785, which also led to the formation of a divergence on the MACD indicator. This is a bullish signal, however, given the current position of the European currency, it is not necessary to count on strong upward momentum. In the scenario of a breakthrough and a decline below the level of 1.0785 in the afternoon, it is best to return to long positions after the area of 1.0765 is updated or immediately to a rebound from the larger low of 1.0740. An equally important task for the bulls will be to break through and consolidate above the resistance of 1.0825, from which a good upward correction will be formed in the area of the highs of 1.0860 and 1.0886, where I recommend taking the profits.
To open short positions on EURUSD, you need:
The bears continue to bend their line, however, they have not managed to break below the support of 1.0785 for the third day in a row, which may lead to a sharp rebound of the pair up. Apparently, the sellers are…

BTC analysis for 02.20.2020 – Crash on the BTC as we expected, our both downwarrd targets are met but potential for even

Industry news:Brendan Blumer, the CEO of Block.one – the publisher of EOS, has said that Bitcoin isn’t money and that it never will be. However, he believes that it’s the “next generation of gold.” His tweets came as a response to Peter Schiff, who once again bashed Bitcoin.Blumer has been consistent in his views of Bitcoin. He has previously said that it shares core values with gold, as well as supply integrity. Moreover, he also believes that “anyone egregiously attacking one in favor of the other is undermining both, while highlighting their own insecurities in regards to their chose favorite.”Indeed, many people have compared Bitcoin to Gold in the past. One of them was the Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell. He said that Bitcoin is “a store of value; it’s a speculative store of value, like gold.”Technical analysis:BTC has been trading downwards as I expected. Both my targets at $9.828 and $9.614 have been reached but there is still room for further downside. Watch for selling opportunities on the rallies with the next main target at the price of $9.060.Watch for potential downside rotation if you see bear continuation pattern like bear flag on hourly or 4H time-frame….

Gold 02.20.2020 – Overbought condition and resistance on the test at $1.617

Technical analysis:Gold has been trading upwards. The price tested the level of $1.618. I see resistance at the level of $1.617 (Upper diagonal of Pitchfork channel), which is indication that Gold is overbought zone and that buying looks risky at this stage.Watch for potential downside rotation if you see any topping pattern or bearish divergence on the lower time-frames. Downside objectives are set at the price of $1.604 and $1.593.Stochastic oscillator is showing overbought condition, which adds even more risk for buyers. Major resistances is set at the price of $1.617 Support levels are set at the price of $1.604 and $1.593The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Markets gone mad

Good afternoon, dear traders!
I think I will not surprise anyone if I say that at a very interesting time we live and trade. Recently, the market has changed a lot, and this, in my opinion, is connected with the economic crisis, which, in my opinion, is already underway. The trigger was the Chinese epidemic of coronavirus. This virus, in addition to casualties, brought incredible fear, which pushed gold to distance.
But the most affected are the currencies. Everything falls – the EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, and absolutely ignoring the positive news on base currencies.
EUR/USD has been falling recoilless already on the 14th day as part of a common two-year fall! Look at the stories – when did this happen and at what events? The last time this happened is in 2018, and before that during the crisis in 2014.
You, of course, say that everything is bad in the eurozone! Let’s look further.
GBP/USD completely ignores the positive news in the country’s economy.
AUD/USD plummets to good employment, breaking through the lows of 2018 and 2019: The “fear indicator”, gold, is at its highest point in the last 7 or 8 years, completely ignoring…

Euro, pull yourself together!

The total weakening of the European currency is starting to seriously worry the market. It looks like a protracted disease that the euro cannot get rid of. Experts fear that with a prolonged fall in the euro, it will “slip through” all the chances for recovery that the market gives from time to time.
Currently, the single European currency continues to stomp within annual lows, and in relation to the US currency, it has fallen to three-year lows. An extremely weak data on the Eurozone business sentiment index from ZEW became an additional nail in the coffin for the euro. Recall that February of this year, the ZEW economic sentiment indicator for Germany rapidly fell to 8.7 points from 26.7 points recorded in January. Analysts also noted a deterioration in the assessment of the economic situation. By the beginning of this year, the German economy had disappointed the market. A negative reaction to an outbreak of coronavirus infection added fuel to the fire, due to the fact that it can drastically slow down global trade, which will put additional pressure on the euro.
According to reports on the eurozone economy, the current situation is not encouraging either, as the…

Trading plan for EUR/USD and GBP/USD on 02/20/2020

Honestly, what is happening on the market surprises more and more. The pound completely ignores its own statistics, but reacts extremely violently to the American currency. And in theory, the single European currency also had to decline under the influence of American statistics. However, it stood still, as if nothing had happened. Thus, it cannot be said that the market definitely pays attention only to American statistics.At the same time, inflation data in the UK turned out to be incredibly good, as it increased from 1.3% to 1.8% instead of the forecast of 1.4%. Indeed, such a sharp increase in inflation clearly indicates that the Bank of England will not lower the refinancing rate for at least the first half of the year. And inflation itself is a factor favorable for the currency market. Nevertheless, investors did not seem to see this data.Inflation (UK):The market behaved exactly the same way at the time of publication of data on construction in Europe, the volume of which decreased by 3.7%. That is, after the news that instead of growth by 1.2%, construction is generally declining, investors behaved in the most usual way – nothing, as if this data was not there.Scope of construction…

Australia Unemployment Data Due On Thursday

Australia will on Thursday release unemployment figures for January, highlighting a modest day for Asia-Pacific economic activity. The jobless rate is expected to come in at 5.2 percent, up from 5.1 percent in December. The Australian economy is tipped to add 10,000 jobs following the addition of 28,900 in the previous month. New Zealand will provide Q4 numbers for producer prices; in the previous three months, inputs were up 1.0 percent on quarter and outputs rose 0.9 percent on quarter. Japan will see final January figures for machine tool orders; the previous reading suggested a decline of 35.6 percent on year. Hong Kong will release consumer price data for January; in December, inflation was up 2.9 percent on year. The central bank in Indonesia will wrap up its monetary policy meeting and then announce its decision on interest rates. The bank is widely expected to keep its benchmark lending rate unchanged at 5.00 percent. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

New Zealand Q4 Producer Prices Outputs Gain 0.4%

Producer price outputs in New Zealand were up 0.4 percent on quarter in the fourth quarter of 2019, Statistics New Zealand said on Thursday, slowing from the 1.0 percent gain in the previous three months. Producer price inputs were up 0.1 percent on quarter, slowing from 0.9 percent in the three months prior. On a yearly basis, outputs rise 1.4 percent and inputs were up 0.3 percent. Capital goods prices advanced 0.5 percent on quarter and 2.8 percent on year, while wage rates increased 0.7 percent on quarter and 2.6 percent on year. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…