Tag Archives: technical analysis

Gold will face important challenges next week.

Gold price remains in a bullish short-term trend as price continues to respect Kumo (cloud) support. Price is above the Ichimoku cloud and a big test is waiting for bulls this Monday. A major downward sloping trend line resistance will be the first obstacle next week.Black line – resistance trend lineGold price is at a major resistance. Price is testing the trend line and the recent highs near $1,630. Support is at $1,610-$1,605 and next at $1,596. A 4 hour close below these levels will be a bearish sign for Gold. If this happens I expect Gold to pull back towards $1,553 which is the lower cloud boundary. Another indicator that confirms we are at important resistance is the Chikou span (light blue line indicator). The Chikou span is hitting the candlestick pattern from below. The Chikou span confirms we are now at important resistance area. Bulls need to break above it in order to hope for a move to $1,650 or higher.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

U.S. Dollar Higher Amid Coronavirus Fears

The U.S. dollar firmed against its major counterparts in the European session on Friday, as investors sought safe-haven assets following grim Eurozone business survey, as well as continued COVID-19 concerns after virus cases exceeded one million. The IHS Markit eurozone services purchasing managers index slumped to a reading of 26.4 in March from 52.6 in February, the worst-ever reading in the history of the series, as the covid-19 pandemic and associated measures taken to contain the outbreak through Europe weighed heavily on business performance. The number of confirmed coronavirus cases crossed the 1 million mark globally with a death toll of 53,030, according to the new tally from Johns Hopkins University. Around 1,015,403 people have been diagnosed with the novel coronavirus across the world. Investors didn’t react to the disappointing U.S. jobs data for March. Data from the Labor Department showed that the U.S. employment fell much more than expected in the month of March. The report said employment plunged by 701,000 jobs in March after jumping by an upwardly revised 275,000 jobs in February. Economists had expected employment to slump by 100,000 jobs compared to the addition of 273,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month. With the much…

Sweden Services Sector Activity Weakest Since 2012

Sweden’s services sector contracted at the fastest rate in 15 years to hit its lowest level since 2012, survey data from Swedbank and the logistics association SILF showed on Wednesday. The Purchasing Managers’ Index for the services sector decreased to 46.9 in March from 56.4 in February.Any reading below 50 suggests contraction in the sector. The latest monthly decline was the largest in the survey’s fifteen-year history and the reading was the lowest since 2012. The order index and production sub-indices recorded the biggest declines in March followed by employment. The sub-index for the suppliers’ delivery times increased for the second straight month, reaching a record high. “Normally, rising delivery times mean increased demand pressure, but this time it is rather a lack of supply that contributes to longer delivery times partly because of the corona virus and closed borders,” Swedbank analyst Jorgen Kennemar said. Service sector companies plans contracted in March, which indicates a darker economic outlook in the future. The Composite PMI, which combines manufacturing and services, fell to 45.9 in March from 55.4 in the previous month. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

EUR/USD evening review for April 03, 2020. Market stuck in the range, to wait for the US state on Monday

Them US employment report for March was released which showed less than 700 thousand jobs and an increase in the unemployment rate from 3.8% to 4.5%.In the past years, Eureka would either soar up or drop-down, but now it stands still.The data from March serves as a recollection of the Tatar invasion. Over the past two weeks, the number of new unemployment benefits in the United States amounted to almost 10 million.The US administration pays huge sums of money to businesses and households in the midst of the pandemic, after all, there are almost 250,000 infected in the United States.In Moscow, Russia the number of infected cases is still at 3,500 which is so far an exponential increase, and the quarantine is still to last until April 30th. Amid this quarantine, the Russian authorities do not propose to pay people who find themselves in FORCED non-working condition.This was directly stated by Sobyanin, the mayor of Moscow, saying that, “The budget will not stand. We believe that the business has enough money to pay a month of vacation to employees.”Germany, on the other hand, paid their forced “vacationers” employees at about 3 Salaries. That is without any inquiries, just on request and…

Eurozone Private Sector Logs Record Fall In March

The euro area private sector logged its biggest monthly fall on record in March as the coronavirus disease, or covid-19, pandemic impacted heavily on economic activity, final data from IHS Markit showed Friday. The final composite output index fell sharply to 29.7 in March from 51.6 in February. This was also weaker than the flash estimate of 31.4. Both services and manufacturing sectors recorded notable declines in output in March. Manufacturers posted the sharpest fall in production since April 2009. At the same time, services activity declined at a record pace. The final services Purchasing Managers’ Index plunged to a record low of 26.4 from 52.6 a month ago. The reading was also below the preliminary estimate of 28.4. The covid-19 pandemic and associated measures taken to contain the outbreak through Europe weighed heavily on business performance. Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit said, the data indicate that the eurozone economy is already contracting at an annualized rate approaching 10 percent, with worse inevitably to come in the near future. Incoming new work deteriorated to the greatest extent in the 22-year survey history. Further, confidence about the future was the lowest recorded by the survey since…

GBP/USD: plan for the US session on April 3. Bears are counting on a major flight of the pound down. The support of 1.2315

To open long positions on GBPUSD, you need:Bears managed to gain a foothold below the support of 1.2315 in the first half of the day after very poor data on activity in the UK services sector. This is clearly visible on the 5-minute chart. However, the continuation of the downward trend in the pound will depend on data on the state of the US labor market. In the second half of the day, the bulls urgently need to return a pair back to the level of 1.2315, since only in this scenario will it be possible to maintain the advantage. If the decline continues in GBP / USD, it is best to return to long positions only after the support test of 1.2150 or to rebound from the larger minimum of 1.1985, in the expectation of correction of 60-70 within the day. A breakout and consolidation above 1.2315 will push purchases to the maximum area of 1.2473, where I recommend fixing the profits.To open short positions on GBPUSD, you need:The bears coped with the weekly task and broke below the support of 1.2315 from the 5th time. Sellers of the pound in the second half of the day need to achieve…

BTC analysis for 04.03.2020 – Major pivot resistance at the price of $7.000 is on the test, potential for downside rotation

BTC news:With growing mobile money across the globe, Revolut has joined the list of growing bank challengers in the UK. The platform is offering an alternative to the central government-controlled fiat currency. With a fixed supply, Bitcoin is seen as the alternative to the fiat especially at a time when governments are printing more money through the quantitative easing program.Technical analysis: BTC has been trading upwards.The price tested and rejected of the very important pivot level at $7.000, which is sign that there is potential for downside rotation. The action around the critical level at $7.000 will be important fore the further direction.Yesterday’s daily close was well off the high, which is another sign that there is potential for the downside.MACD oscillator is still showing reading below the zero but the slow line is going upwards.Major resistance is set at $7.000 and the next one is at $7.630.My recommendation is to watch for selling opportunities around the critical pivot at $7.000.Potential targets can be set at $6.131, $5.180 and even $3.877The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Singapore Retail Sales Decrease In February

Singapore retail sales decline at the fastest pace in February, data from the Department of Statistics showed on Friday. Retail sales declined 8.6 percent year-on-year in February, following a 5.3 percent fall in January. Motor vehicle sales rose 1.3 percent annually in February, following a 33.6 percent fall in the previous month. Excluding motor vehicles, retail sales decreased 10.2 percent in February, after a 0.6 percent increase in the preceding month. Sales of wearing apparel and footwear declined the most by 41.0 percent in February and those of food and alcohol, and department stores decreased 40.5 percent and 36.3 percent, respectively. On a monthly basis, retail sales dropped 8.9 percent in February, after a 0.2 percent rise in the prior month. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Australia Retail Sales Climb 0.5% In February

Retail sales in Australia rose a seasonally adjusted 0.5 percent on month in February, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Friday – coming in at A$27.755 billion. That beat expectations for an increase of 0.4 percent following the 0.3 percent decline in January. The following industries rose in seasonally adjusted terms in February 2020: Food retailing (0.8 percent), Department stores (3.1 percent), Household goods retailing (0.7 percent), Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (0.2 percent), and Other retailing (0.2 percent). Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (-2.9 percent) fell in seasonally adjusted terms in February 2020. The following states and territories rose in seasonally adjusted terms in February 2020: Queensland (0.8 percent), Victoria (0.5 percent), Western Australia (1.2 percent), South Australia (0.4 percent), and the Australian Capital Territory (1.1 percent). Tasmania (0.0 percent) and New South Wales (0.0 percent) were relatively unchanged. The Northern Territory (-0.7 percent) fell in seasonally adjusted terms in February 2020. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for 03/04/2020:

Technical Market Outlook:Not much has changed since yesterday as GBP/USD pair is still hovering just below the 61% Fibonacci retracement located at the level of 1.2516 despite the overbought market conditions. The bulls were rejected from that level and the price went down towards the nearest technical support located at the level of 1.2308. Since then, the market is trading slowly in a narrow horizontal range. There is still no indication of a local up trend reversal and the momentum is still strong and positive. The next technical support is seen at the level of 1.2199, so there is a room for bears. Please notice, that the larger time frame trend remains down and all the moves up will be treated as a local counter-trend corrections during the down trend.Weekly Pivot Points:WR3 – 1.3952WR2 – 1.3223WR1 – 1.2933Weekly Pivot – 1.2180WS1 – 1.1877WS2 – 1.1101WS3 – 1.0804Trading Recommendations:The fear of the coronavirus consequences is very strong among the global investors and it rules on the financial markets. On the GBP/USD pair the main trend is down, but the reversal is possible when the coronavirus pandemic will be tamed. The key long-term technical support has been recently violated (1.1983) and the new…