Tag Archives: the trend is your firend

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Show Modest Increase

A report released by the Labor Department on Thursday showed a modest increase in first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits in the week ended February 15th. The Labor Department said initial jobless claims crept up to 210,000, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week’s revised level of 206,000 Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 210,000 from the 205,000 originally reported for the previous week. Meanwhile, the report said the less volatile four-week moving average edged down to 209,000, a decrease of 3,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 212,250. The Labor Department also said continuing claims, a reading on the number of people receiving ongoing unemployment assistance, rose by 25,000 to 1.726 million in the week ended February 8th. The four-week moving average of continuing claims still dipped to 1,722,250, a decrease of 5,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 1,727,500. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

February 20, 2020 : EUR/USD Intraday technical analysis and trade recommendations.

On December 30, a bearish ABC reversal pattern was initiated around 1.1235 (Previous Key-zone) just before another bearish movement could take place towards 1.1100 (In the meanwhile, the EURUSD pair was losing much of its bearish momentum).One more bullish pullback was executed towards 1.1175 where the depicted key-zone as well as the recently-broken uptrend were located. That’s why, quick bearish decline was executed towards 1.1100 then 1.1035 which failed to provide enough bullish SUPPORT for the EURUSD pair.Further bearish decline took place towards 1.1000 where the pair looked quite oversold around the lower limit of the depicted bearish channel where significant bullish rejection was able to push the pair back towards the nearest SUPPLY levels around 1.1080-1.1100 (confluence of supply levels (including the upper limit of the channel).Since then, the pair has been down-trending within the depicted bearish channel until last week when bearish decline went further below 1.0950 and 1.0910 (Fibonacci Expansion levels 78.6% and 100%) establishing a new low around 1.0790.Currently, the EUR/USD pair looks quite oversold after such a long bearish decline and if bullish recovery is expressed above 1.0845-1.0860, further bullish advancement would be expected towards 1.0910 then 1.0950.Intraday traders are advised to look for signs of…

EUR/USD: plan for the US session on February 20. The euro continues to stagnate around annual lows. The sellers’ target remains

To open long positions on EURUSD, you need:
Data on German producer prices helped keep the euro at this year’s lows, forming a false breakdown from the support area of 1.0785, which also led to the formation of a divergence on the MACD indicator. This is a bullish signal, however, given the current position of the European currency, it is not necessary to count on strong upward momentum. In the scenario of a breakthrough and a decline below the level of 1.0785 in the afternoon, it is best to return to long positions after the area of 1.0765 is updated or immediately to a rebound from the larger low of 1.0740. An equally important task for the bulls will be to break through and consolidate above the resistance of 1.0825, from which a good upward correction will be formed in the area of the highs of 1.0860 and 1.0886, where I recommend taking the profits.
To open short positions on EURUSD, you need:
The bears continue to bend their line, however, they have not managed to break below the support of 1.0785 for the third day in a row, which may lead to a sharp rebound of the pair up. Apparently, the sellers are…

Germany Producer Prices Rise Unexpectedly

Germany’s producer prices rose unexpectedly in January, data from Destatis showed on Thursday. The producer price index rose 0.2 percent year-on-year in January, reversing a 0.2 percent decrease seen in December. Economists had expected a 0.4 percent fall. Among the components, prices for non-durable consumer goods grew 3.6 percent annually in January and those of durable consumer goods and capital goods rose by 1.4 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively. Meanwhile, prices for intermediate goods and energy declined by 1.5 percent and 1.0 percent, respectively. On a monthly basis, producer prices increased 0.8 percent in January, following a 0.1 percent rise in the previous month. Economists had expected prices to remain unchanged. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

*UK Jan Retail Sales Ex-auto Fuel Up 1.6% M/M V. -0.8% In Dec, Consensus 0.8%

UK Jan Retail Sales Ex-auto Fuel Up 1.6% M/M V. -0.8% In Dec, Consensus 0.8% The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

EUR/USD for February 20,2020 – Broken downard well-defined channel, posibility for the bigger rally towards the 1.0860

Technical analysis:EUR/USD has been trading sideways at the price of 1.0790. I found that there is the breakout of the well defined downward channel in the background, which is sign that buyers are taking control over buyers and the rally is very possible.Rising black trend line – Possible pathDownside diagonals – Broken downward channelYellow rectangle – Support clusterWatch for buying opportunities with the main upward targets at the price of 1.0835 and 1.0858.MACD oscillator is showing 3-pushes down and bullish divergence, which is good confirmation for our long bias.Major support is set at the price of 1.0760 Resistance levels and upwardThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

Trading recommendations for EURUSD pair on February 20

From a comprehensive analysis, we see another slowdown in the area of lows, where downward interest is still a priority. Now, about the details. A steady bearish interest is striking in its stability, where a move of more than 440 points has been formed since the beginning of the year. This value hides not just a movement but the structure of the global trend. So the theory of downward development is now in the center of everyone’s attention since the euro updates local minimums almost on a daily basis. Psychological ranges (1.0700/1.0850; 1.0500/1.0700; 1.0000//1.0350//1.0500) increase the interest of speculators, however, they are alarming since there may be a stop with a reverse surge at any moment. If we consider the theory in terms of the medium-term course, it is too early to worry since the main flow of emotions will come during price fluctuations in the range of 1.0000//1.0350//1.0500 where without the support of the information background, speculators will not get along.
In terms of volatility, we see a sharp slowdown of 35% relative to the average daily indicator and the regularity of past periods has shown that such significant stops bring new bursts of activity.
Analyzing the past day…

Euro, pull yourself together!

The total weakening of the European currency is starting to seriously worry the market. It looks like a protracted disease that the euro cannot get rid of. Experts fear that with a prolonged fall in the euro, it will “slip through” all the chances for recovery that the market gives from time to time.
Currently, the single European currency continues to stomp within annual lows, and in relation to the US currency, it has fallen to three-year lows. An extremely weak data on the Eurozone business sentiment index from ZEW became an additional nail in the coffin for the euro. Recall that February of this year, the ZEW economic sentiment indicator for Germany rapidly fell to 8.7 points from 26.7 points recorded in January. Analysts also noted a deterioration in the assessment of the economic situation. By the beginning of this year, the German economy had disappointed the market. A negative reaction to an outbreak of coronavirus infection added fuel to the fire, due to the fact that it can drastically slow down global trade, which will put additional pressure on the euro.
According to reports on the eurozone economy, the current situation is not encouraging either, as the…

Trading plan for EUR/USD and GBP/USD on 02/20/2020

Honestly, what is happening on the market surprises more and more. The pound completely ignores its own statistics, but reacts extremely violently to the American currency. And in theory, the single European currency also had to decline under the influence of American statistics. However, it stood still, as if nothing had happened. Thus, it cannot be said that the market definitely pays attention only to American statistics.At the same time, inflation data in the UK turned out to be incredibly good, as it increased from 1.3% to 1.8% instead of the forecast of 1.4%. Indeed, such a sharp increase in inflation clearly indicates that the Bank of England will not lower the refinancing rate for at least the first half of the year. And inflation itself is a factor favorable for the currency market. Nevertheless, investors did not seem to see this data.Inflation (UK):The market behaved exactly the same way at the time of publication of data on construction in Europe, the volume of which decreased by 3.7%. That is, after the news that instead of growth by 1.2%, construction is generally declining, investors behaved in the most usual way – nothing, as if this data was not there.Scope of construction…

Australia January Unemployment Rate Rises To 5.3%

The jobless rate in Australia came in at a seasonally adjusted 5.3 percent in January, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday. That exceeded expectations for 5.2 percent and was up from 5.1 percent in December. The Australian economy added 13.500 jobs last month to 12,995,400 people, again surpassing forecasts for a gain of 10,000 jobs following the gain of 28,900 jobs in the previous month. Full-time employment increased by 46,200 to 8,882,200 people and part-time employment decreased by 32,700 to 4,113,300 people. Unemployment increased by 31,000 to 725,900 people. The participation rate was 66.1 percent, exceeding expectations for 66.0 percent – which would have been unchanged from the month prior. Monthly hours worked in all jobs decreased by 8.1 million hours to 1,781.8 million hours. The monthly seasonally adjusted underemployment rate increased by 0.3 pts to 8.6 percent. The monthly underutilization rate increased by 0.5 pts to 13.9 percent. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…