Tag Archives: trading psychology

Brazil Services Sector Shrinks At Record Pace On Covid-19 Disruption

Brazil’s service sector shrunk at the fastest pace in the survey’s 13-year history in March as businesses were shut and demand shrunk due to the coronavirus, or Covid-19, outbreak, survey data from IHS Markit showed on Friday. The headline seasonally adjusted IHS Markit Brazil Services Business Activity Index plummeted by nearly 16 points to 34.5 from 50.4 in February. A reading below 50 suggests contraction in activity. New work fell at the fastest pace since the survey began in March 2007, thanks to cancelled orders and business shutdowns. Export demand dropped at a rapid rate that exceeded the fall in total demand, mainly due to containment measures adopted globally to slow the spread of the Covid-19 pandemic. Employment fell at the fastest rate since October 2016, as businesses shed jobs in a bid to reduce operating costs amid shutdowns. Average costs increased sharply in March, but the overall rate of input price inflation was the slowest since last November. A strong US dollar and a corresponding increase in the price of imported items, pushed up purchasing costs. Charge inflation remained modest, but was the fastest in three months. Business confidence eroded sharply with expectations being the weakest since the survey…

*ISM U.S. Non-Manufacturing Index Drops To 52.5 In March

ISM U.S. Non-Manufacturing Index Drops To 52.5 In March The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

April 3, 2020 : GBP/USD Intraday technical analysis and trade recommendations.

Since January 13, progressive bearish pressure has been built above the price level of 1.2780-1.2800 until March the 2nd when transient bearish consolidation below 1.2780 took place within the depicted wide-ranged slightly bearish channel.Shortly after, significant bullish rejection was demonstrated around 1.2780 on March 4. Hence, a quick bullish movement was expressed towards the price zone of 1.3165-1.3200 where significant bearish pressure brought the pair back below 1.2780, 1.2500 then 1.2260 via quick bearish engulfing H4 candlesticks.Recently, the GBPUSD has reached new LOW price levels around 1.1450, slightly below the historical low (1.1650) achieved in September 2016.Recently, the GBP/USD pair looked very OVERSOLD around the price levels of 1.1450 where a double-bottom reversal pattern was recently demonstrated.Technical outlook will probably remain bullish if bullish persistence is maintained above 1.1890-1.1900 (Double-Bottom Neckline) on the H4 Charts.Bullish breakout above 1.1900 (Latest Descending High) invalidated the bearish scenario temporarily & enabled a quick bullish movement to occur towards 1.2260.Next bullish targets around 1.2520 and 1.2680 were expected to be addressed if sufficient bullish momentum was maintained.However, early bearish pressure signs have originated around 1.2470 leading to another bearish decline towards 1.2265.That’s why, H4 Candlestick re-closure below 1.2265 is needed to hinder further bullish advancement…

Spain Industrial Production Decline Slows In February

Spain’s industrial production fell at a softer pace in February, data from the statistical office INE showed on Friday. Industrial production declined a calendar adjusted 1.3 percent annually in February, following a 2.2 percent fall in January. Energy output had the biggest decline of 4.1 percent annually in February and non-durable consumer goods decreased 1.2 percent. Meanwhile, durable consumer goods remained unchanged. On an unadjusted basis, industrial output rose 0.1 percent in February, after a 3.8 percent decline in the preceding month. On a month-on-month basis, industrial production remained unchanged in February. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com…

EUR/USD evening review for April 03, 2020. Market stuck in the range, to wait for the US state on Monday

Them US employment report for March was released which showed less than 700 thousand jobs and an increase in the unemployment rate from 3.8% to 4.5%.In the past years, Eureka would either soar up or drop-down, but now it stands still.The data from March serves as a recollection of the Tatar invasion. Over the past two weeks, the number of new unemployment benefits in the United States amounted to almost 10 million.The US administration pays huge sums of money to businesses and households in the midst of the pandemic, after all, there are almost 250,000 infected in the United States.In Moscow, Russia the number of infected cases is still at 3,500 which is so far an exponential increase, and the quarantine is still to last until April 30th. Amid this quarantine, the Russian authorities do not propose to pay people who find themselves in FORCED non-working condition.This was directly stated by Sobyanin, the mayor of Moscow, saying that, “The budget will not stand. We believe that the business has enough money to pay a month of vacation to employees.”Germany, on the other hand, paid their forced “vacationers” employees at about 3 Salaries. That is without any inquiries, just on request and…

Eurozone Private Sector Logs Record Fall In March

The euro area private sector logged its biggest monthly fall on record in March as the coronavirus disease, or covid-19, pandemic impacted heavily on economic activity, final data from IHS Markit showed Friday. The final composite output index fell sharply to 29.7 in March from 51.6 in February. This was also weaker than the flash estimate of 31.4. Both services and manufacturing sectors recorded notable declines in output in March. Manufacturers posted the sharpest fall in production since April 2009. At the same time, services activity declined at a record pace. The final services Purchasing Managers’ Index plunged to a record low of 26.4 from 52.6 a month ago. The reading was also below the preliminary estimate of 28.4. The covid-19 pandemic and associated measures taken to contain the outbreak through Europe weighed heavily on business performance. Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit said, the data indicate that the eurozone economy is already contracting at an annualized rate approaching 10 percent, with worse inevitably to come in the near future. Incoming new work deteriorated to the greatest extent in the 22-year survey history. Further, confidence about the future was the lowest recorded by the survey since…

Japanese Yen Higher Amid Rising Risk Aversion

The Japanese yen climbed against its major counterparts in the Asian session on Friday amid rising risk aversion, as oil prices retraced gains and a private survey showed that China’s services sector contracted further in March. Survey data from IHS Markit showed that China’s services activity contracted in March due to the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on demand and supply chains. The Caixin services Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 43.0 in March from 26.5 in February. However, a score below 50 indicates contraction. Oil prices fell after soaring on Thursday following President Donald Trump’s comment that he expects Russia and Saudi Arabia to co-operate on output reduction. The United States reported a record 6.648 million jobless claims last week led by shut downs to contain the virus. Investors await the March payroll data due at 8:30 am ET. Economists are expecting a drop of 100,000 jobs last month, while the unemployment rate is seen rising to 3.8 percent. The number of confirmed coronavirus cases crossed the 1 million mark globally with a death toll of 53,030, according to the new tally from Johns Hopkins University. Around 1,015,403 people have been diagnosed with the novel coronavirus across the world….

Analysis of EUR/USD on April 3, 2020

Waiting for Nonfarm Payrolls
Hello, dear colleagues!
The main event of today and the whole week will be data on the US labor market, which will be published at 13:30 London time. Economists’ forecasts are disappointing. It is expected that the unemployment rate will rise from 3.5% immediately to 3.8%, and the growth of the average hourly wage will be the usual 0.2%. As for the creation of new jobs in non-agricultural sectors of the American economy, this indicator may fall to minus 100 for the first time since the financial and economic crisis of 2008.
In principle, market participants are well aware that in the context of the ongoing rampant COVID-19 around the world, strong data on the US labor market can not be expected. Interest is aroused by the actual figures and the reaction of investors to them. Has the coronavirus epidemic had such a significant impact on the economy of the United States of America, or will it be a little later? There will certainly be negative consequences for the world’s leading economy. The question is when exactly to expect a peak?
So far, it is in the United States that the most severe outbreak of a new type of coronavirus is…

Fractal analysis of the main currency pairs for April 3

Forecast for April 3 :Analytical review of currency pairs on the scale of H1:For the euro / dollar pair, the key levels on the H1 scale are: 1.0978, 1.0916, 1.0876, 1.0791, 1.0761, 1.0704 and 1.0622. Here, we are following the development of the descending structure of March 27. The continuation of movement to the bottom is expected after the price passes the noise range 1.0791 – 1.0761. In this case, the target is 1.0704. Price consolidation is near this level. For the potential value for the bottom, we consider the level of 1.0622, upon reaching which, we expect a pullback to the top.Short-term upward movement is possibly in the range 1.0876 – 1.0916. The breakdown of the last value will lead to an in-depth correction. Here, the target is 1.0978. This level is a key support for the downward structure.The main trend is the descending structure of March 27Trading recommendations:Buy: 1.0876 Take profit: 1.0914Buy: 1.0918 Take profit: 1.0978Sell: 1.0760 Take profit: 1.0705Sell: 1.0702 Take profit: 1.0622For the pound / dollar pair, the key levels on the H1 scale are: 1.2879, 1.2654, 1.2550, 1.2315, 1.2216 and 1.2099. Here, we are following the development of the upward cycle of March 19. Short-term upward…